Pollcast

UK General Election Tracker

Rolling average of GB/UK national polls. House effects corrected using historical 2019 and 2024 polling data. Shaded region shows 95% confidence interval for the two leading parties.

Date ↕ Pollster ↕ Client ↕ Area ↕ Sample ↕ Lab ↕ Con ↕ Ref ↕ LD ↕ Grn ↕ Lead ↕
One-sided LOESS (local linear regression), bandwidth = 45 days  ·  House effects derived from 2019 and 2024 UK general elections  ·  Lab and Con corrected for pollster bias; other parties unadjusted